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The US stock market in the age of fiscal dominance.
Trump 2.0 is not playing out as billed in last year's election - is it going to be Wall Street over Main Street yet again?
Jul 2
•
Charlie Crowson
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The US stock market in the age of fiscal dominance.
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June 2025
The challenges to challenging the dollar.
With de-dollarisation increasingly a theme if not yet entirely a fact, the real question is what sits behind a currency to make it valuable?
Jun 22
•
Charlie Crowson
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The challenges to challenging the dollar.
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May 2025
Trump's plan B - another dash for growth.
With DOGE-style austerity on the back burner, SoS Scott Bessent has basically said growth will stabilize US finances. What are the chances of success?
May 28
•
Charlie Crowson
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Trump's plan B - another dash for growth.
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Debt - the real winner of the trade war?
We tend to focus on which country is top dog, but perhaps we should think about debt and compound interest as the apex predators in all this.
May 15
•
Charlie Crowson
2
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Debt - the real winner of the trade war?
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April 2025
Does a world of tariffs also mean one of capital controls?
In the hiatus following President Trump's embarrassing retreat over tariff implementation, investors should think about what comes next.
Apr 29
•
Charlie Crowson
4
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Does a world of tariffs also mean one of capital controls?
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Financial markets and the world of yesterday.
Is it enough to hope that President Trump will be more 'transactional' or that the Fed will step in to stabilise markets?
Apr 7
•
Charlie Crowson
1
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Financial markets and the world of yesterday.
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March 2025
US stock market exceptionalism: stick, twist - or fold?
The S&P 500 is down in Q1 - the end of a correction, or just the end of the beginning of something bigger?
Mar 24
•
Charlie Crowson
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US stock market exceptionalism: stick, twist - or fold?
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Germany's appetite for economic self-destruction
There's no need to be beastly to the hun if the hun are being beastly to themselves.
Mar 6
•
Charlie Crowson
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Germany's appetite for economic self-destruction
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February 2025
What Donald did next.
Tariffs appear to be the opening salvo of a wider plan to shake up global trade, but is this all a sign of American weakness not strength?
Feb 20
•
Charlie Crowson
1
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What Donald did next.
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January 2025
DeepSeek AI - when events can only be understood by historical analogy.
Some events are potentially so disruptive that only remote and unrelated stories from history can help us to imagine a suddenly unclear future.
Jan 31
•
Charlie Crowson
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DeepSeek AI - when events can only be understood by historical analogy.
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America's (very) long history of tariffs.
For advocates of free trade and globalisation, tariffs are always bad. Reality is, as ever, more nuanced.
Jan 22
•
Charlie Crowson
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America's (very) long history of tariffs.
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The UK's currency - sound as a pound?
Sterling is falling as gilt yields rise - is this just a British problem or a symptom of rising volatility in the currency markets at large?
Jan 9
•
Charlie Crowson
1
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The UK's currency - sound as a pound?
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